Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.010638 0.012874 0.015683 0.019557 0.024908 0.032279 0.043670
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.008330 0.011017 0.014877 0.021148 0.031823 0.051014 0.093811
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007152 0.010029 0.014557 0.022864 0.039621 0.078189 0.208716
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006108 0.008896 0.013559 0.022871 0.044232 0.104868 0.423956
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005312 0.007956 0.012587 0.022471 0.047706 0.134620 0.903466
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004558 0.006942 0.011235 0.020784 0.046920 0.150103 1.611901
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004034 0.006240 0.010318 0.019759 0.047456 0.174030 3.667048
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003699 0.005824 0.009870 0.019680 0.050974 0.224271 19.905859
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003477 0.005577 0.009709 0.020258 0.057357 0.321168 NaN
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003247 0.005287 0.009402 0.020357 0.062210 0.440412 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002980 0.004892 0.008807 0.019484 0.062355 0.516559 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002782 0.004612 0.008425 0.019132 0.064849 0.665810 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002673 0.004521 0.008508 0.020403 0.078487 1.427706 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002587 0.004467 0.008677 0.022105 0.098951 4.788701 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002508 0.004416 0.008845 0.023933 0.126310 45.044866 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002361 0.004201 0.008555 0.023941 0.139455 1804.386846 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002215 0.003972 0.008189 0.023514 0.148244 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002035 0.003653 0.007543 0.021719 0.138138 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001898 0.003417 0.007090 0.020629 0.135652 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001807 0.003278 0.006884 0.020545 0.146798 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001747 0.003201 0.006838 0.021159 0.171364 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001676 0.003094 0.006690 0.021265 0.189926 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001582 0.002927 0.006350 0.020337 0.186881 NaN NaN